Moldova vs Kazakhstan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moldova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
LVA
3 - 2
MDA
55%
25%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
ISR
3 - 1
MDA
76%
16%
7%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
MDA
1 - 1
GRC
20%
27%
53%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
MDA
0 - 0
LUX
75%
17%
8%
|
75 | 39 | 36 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
ARM
1 - 4
MDA
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Kazakhstan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
KAZ
1 - 2
CRO
14%
22%
65%
|
67 | 94 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
BLR
4 - 0
KAZ
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
AND
1 - 3
KAZ
24%
24%
52%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2009 |
UKR
2 - 1
KAZ
75%
18%
8%
|
68 | 90 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
KAZ
0 - 4
ENG
13%
23%
63%
|
68 | 98 | 30 | 0 |