Mexico vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
MEX
4 - 0
IRQ
72%
19%
9%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
COL
3 - 2
MEX
44%
26%
30%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
PER
0 - 1
MEX
34%
27%
39%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
MEX
0 - 1
PAR
67%
21%
13%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
JAM
1 - 1
MEX
7%
20%
73%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
SWE
1 - 1
SVN
69%
20%
11%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SRB
4 - 1
SWE
44%
25%
31%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
NOR
3 - 2
SWE
31%
27%
42%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
SWE
0 - 1
SRB
56%
24%
20%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
SWE
1 - 2
NOR
58%
23%
20%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |