Mexico vs Bosnia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
7.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2012 |
WLS
0 - 2
MEX
22%
25%
53%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
MEX
0 - 2
COL
61%
23%
17%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
MEX
3 - 1
VEN
75%
17%
8%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
MEX
2 - 0
SRB
74%
17%
9%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
MEX
1 - 2
BRA
24%
24%
52%
|
93 | 99 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Bosnia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
IRL
1 - 0
BIH
71%
19%
10%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2012 |
BIH
1 - 2
BRA
8%
17%
75%
|
83 | 99 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
POL
1 - 0
BIH
68%
19%
12%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
PRT
6 - 2
BIH
83%
12%
5%
|
83 | 96 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
BIH
0 - 0
PRT
15%
23%
63%
|
83 | 96 | 13 | 0 |