Morocco vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
14.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
MAR
4 - 1
MRT
92%
6%
1%
|
88 | 48 | 40 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
OMN
0 - 0
MAR
32%
29%
39%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
MAR
3 - 1
BEN
76%
17%
7%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 0
RWA
70%
20%
10%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
RWA
3 - 1
MAR
18%
29%
53%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
COD
0 - 0
ZMB
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
ZMB
1 - 0
TGO
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
MDG
0 - 2
ZMB
14%
20%
66%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
ZMB
5 - 4
ZWE
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
ZMB
1 - 0
SWZ
74%
17%
8%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |