Morocco vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
63.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 2
MAR
24%
25%
51%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
0 - 2
MAR
75%
16%
10%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
CRO
36%
25%
39%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 0
GEO
73%
17%
10%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 0
MAR
32%
27%
41%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
JPN
2 - 1
ESP
16%
20%
64%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ESP
1 - 1
GER
55%
21%
24%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
ESP
7 - 0
CRC
87%
10%
4%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
POR
0 - 1
ESP
34%
24%
43%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ESP
1 - 2
SUI
75%
16%
9%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | -1 |