Macedonia vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
59%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
MKD
1 - 0
UKR
40%
27%
34%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
MKD
1 - 0
BIH
48%
23%
29%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2004 |
CHN
1 - 0
MKD
80%
13%
7%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2004 |
CHN
0 - 0
MKD
81%
13%
7%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
UKR
0 - 0
MKD
78%
15%
8%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
CRO
2 - 2
TUR
59%
24%
17%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
CRO
1 - 2
GER
32%
27%
40%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
SVN
0 - 1
CRO
31%
27%
42%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
CRO
1 - 1
SVN
67%
21%
12%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
CRO
1 - 0
BGR
55%
25%
20%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |