Macau vs Mongolia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
34%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2001 |
MAC
1 - 6
NPL
66%
18%
16%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2001 |
MAC
0 - 5
KAZ
12%
19%
70%
|
41 | 75 | 34 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
MAC
0 - 5
IRQ
5%
12%
83%
|
41 | 87 | 46 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
NPL
4 - 1
MAC
53%
21%
27%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
KAZ
3 - 0
MAC
84%
12%
5%
|
43 | 74 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Mongolia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2002 |
RUS
5 - 6
MNG
95%
5%
1%
|
40 | 91 | 51 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
MNG
4 - 1
LTU
12%
20%
68%
|
38 | 74 | 36 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
BRA
1 - 0
MNG
98%
2%
0%
|
38 | 98 | 60 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2001 |
BGD
2 - 2
MNG
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2001 |
VIE
4 - 0
MNG
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |