Luxembourg vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
65.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
18.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.8%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
RUS
4 - 1
LUX
78%
16%
6%
|
43 | 91 | 48 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
LUX
2 - 1
LTU
10%
20%
70%
|
41 | 76 | 35 | +2 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
AZE
1 - 1
LUX
72%
19%
9%
|
41 | 67 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
LUX
0 - 3
FIN
11%
20%
70%
|
41 | 84 | 43 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
LUX
0 - 0
AZE
17%
24%
60%
|
40 | 67 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
NIR
2 - 4
POR
9%
20%
71%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
NIR
1 - 0
RUS
14%
23%
63%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
NIR
0 - 2
ISR
27%
26%
48%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
MLT
0 - 0
NIR
17%
24%
59%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
NIR
1 - 1
AZE
68%
21%
11%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |