Luxembourg vs Slovenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
53%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
SUI
3 - 1
LUX
78%
15%
8%
|
64 | 89 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
LUX
1 - 0
SWE
11%
19%
70%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2024 |
LUX
2 - 2
NIR
23%
25%
51%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
LUX
0 - 1
BGR
24%
24%
53%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
BLR
1 - 1
LUX
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Slovenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
SVN
1 - 0
SVK
37%
25%
38%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
SVK
0 - 0
SVN
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
AUT
1 - 1
SVN
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
SVN
1 - 4
NOR
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
KAZ
0 - 1
SVN
20%
25%
55%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |