EC Qualifying Ronda de clasificación. Jor. 3

Luxembourg vs Denmark analysis

Luxembourg Denmark
39 ELO 80
9.8% Tilt 8%
1974º General ELO ranking 44º
10º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
12.6%
Luxembourg
22.2%
Draw
65.2%
Denmark

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
Luxembourg
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
65.2%
Win probability
Denmark
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.7%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Luxembourg
+30%
-4%
Denmark

ELO progression

Luxembourg
Denmark
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Luxembourg
Luxembourg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Oct. 1982
LUX
Luxembourg
0 - 2
Greece
GRC
26%
29%
45%
40 72 32 0
05 Dec. 1981
ITA
Italy
1 - 0
Luxembourg
LUX
86%
11%
3%
39 91 52 +1
21 Nov. 1981
YUG
Yugoslavia
5 - 0
Luxembourg
LUX
89%
8%
3%
40 88 48 -1
14 Oct. 1981
ESP
Spain
3 - 0
Luxembourg
LUX
84%
11%
5%
40 88 48 0
01 May. 1981
LUX
Luxembourg
1 - 2
Denmark
DNK
26%
28%
47%
40 78 38 0

Matches

Denmark
Denmark
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Oct. 1982
DNK
Denmark
1 - 3
Czechoslovakia
CSK
41%
27%
32%
80 88 8 0
22 Sep. 1982
DNK
Denmark
2 - 2
England
ENG
23%
25%
53%
80 92 12 0
01 Sep. 1982
ROU
Romania
1 - 0
Denmark
DNK
65%
21%
14%
80 84 4 0
11 Aug. 1982
DNK
Denmark
3 - 2
Finland
FIN
82%
11%
7%
80 60 20 0
15 Jun. 1982
NOR
Norway
2 - 1
Denmark
DNK
31%
25%
44%
80 61 19 0
X