Lithuania vs Turkmenistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
LTU
0 - 2
ITA
11%
24%
66%
|
73 | 98 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
LTU
1 - 0
GEO
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
UKR
1 - 0
LTU
72%
19%
9%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
LTU
0 - 1
FRA
9%
22%
70%
|
73 | 100 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2007 |
LTU
1 - 3
MLI
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Turkmenistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2007 |
QAT
1 - 0
TKM
73%
18%
10%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2006 |
SOM
2 - 8
TKM
22%
22%
56%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 2006 |
SDN
2 - 0
TKM
52%
22%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2006 |
LBN
0 - 0
TKM
49%
24%
28%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2005 |
BHR
5 - 0
TKM
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |