Lithuania vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
61.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
LTU
4 - 0
IDN
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1996 |
BRA
3 - 1
LTU
97%
3%
1%
|
73 | 98 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
LTU
2 - 1
LIE
85%
12%
3%
|
73 | 10 | 63 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
LTU
2 - 0
ISL
49%
26%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
ROU
3 - 0
LTU
89%
8%
3%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1997 |
ROU
8 - 0
LIE
97%
3%
0%
|
90 | 10 | 80 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1997 |
SWE
2 - 0
ROU
57%
23%
20%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1996 |
MKD
0 - 3
ROU
15%
23%
63%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
ISL
0 - 4
ROU
19%
27%
54%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
ROU
1 - 2
ARE
90%
8%
3%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |