Liechtenstein vs San Marino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
19.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liechtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
MLT
2 - 0
LIE
78%
14%
8%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 0
GIB
21%
18%
61%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 0
HKG
16%
21%
63%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | +5 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
GIB
2 - 2
LIE
67%
17%
16%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
SMR
1 - 0
LIE
33%
22%
45%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
SMR
1 - 1
GIB
18%
16%
66%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
AND
2 - 0
SMR
64%
19%
16%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
GIB
1 - 0
SMR
64%
17%
19%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
MDA
1 - 0
SMR
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 56 | 35 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
SMR
1 - 0
LIE
33%
22%
45%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |