Liechtenstein vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
66.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Liechtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
LIE
0 - 3
SWE
12%
22%
66%
|
21 | 93 | 72 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
DNK
4 - 0
LIE
86%
11%
3%
|
21 | 94 | 73 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
NIR
3 - 1
LIE
83%
13%
4%
|
21 | 84 | 63 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
LIE
0 - 2
ESP
4%
14%
82%
|
21 | 99 | 78 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
ISL
1 - 1
LIE
85%
11%
4%
|
21 | 80 | 59 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
ISL
2 - 4
LVA
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
ISL
2 - 1
NIR
46%
28%
27%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
ISL
1 - 1
ESP
11%
21%
68%
|
79 | 98 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
ISL
1 - 1
CAN
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
SWE
5 - 0
ISL
77%
16%
7%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | -1 |