Baltic Cup Jor. 1

Latvia vs Lithuania analysis

Latvia Lithuania
76 ELO 76
-4% Tilt -5.4%
2852º General ELO ranking 3109º
14º Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
46.2%
Latvia
26%
Draw
27.8%
Lithuania

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
Latvia
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.8%
Win probability
Lithuania
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Latvia
Lithuania
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Latvia
Latvia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 May. 2008
LVA
Latvia
1 - 0
Estonia
EST
59%
23%
19%
75 68 7 0
26 Mar. 2008
AND
Andorra
0 - 3
Latvia
LVA
19%
23%
58%
74 50 24 +1
06 Feb. 2008
GEO
Georgia
1 - 3
Latvia
LVA
58%
23%
20%
73 77 4 +1
21 Nov. 2007
SWE
Sweden
2 - 1
Latvia
LVA
78%
16%
6%
73 92 19 0
17 Nov. 2007
LVA
Latvia
4 - 1
Liechtenstein
LIE
79%
15%
6%
73 23 50 0

Matches

Lithuania
Lithuania
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 May. 2008
EST
Estonia
0 - 1
Lithuania
LTU
35%
27%
38%
76 68 8 0
27 May. 2008
CZE
Czech Republic
2 - 0
Lithuania
LTU
85%
11%
4%
76 95 19 0
26 Mar. 2008
LTU
Lithuania
1 - 0
Azerbaijan
AZE
65%
21%
14%
75 64 11 +1
21 Nov. 2007
GEO
Georgia
0 - 2
Lithuania
LTU
57%
23%
20%
74 77 3 +1
17 Nov. 2007
LTU
Lithuania
2 - 0
Ukraine
UKR
28%
31%
41%
72 87 15 +2
X