Kenya vs Zimbabwe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
38.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
KEN
2 - 0
GUI
28%
27%
45%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2008 |
NAM
2 - 1
KEN
33%
25%
42%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2007 |
UGA
4 - 2
KEN
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2007 |
KEN
2 - 0
SOM
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
BDI
1 - 0
KEN
24%
25%
52%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
ZIM
2 - 0
NAM
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
GUI
0 - 0
ZIM
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
BOT
0 - 1
ZIM
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2008 |
RSA
2 - 1
ZIM
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
ZIM
3 - 1
MWI
61%
22%
16%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |