Kenya vs Somalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
5.6%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2001 |
KEN
2 - 1
ERI
81%
13%
6%
|
70 | 11 | 59 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
TAN
3 - 1
KEN
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2001 |
KEN
4 - 2
UGA
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
KEN
1 - 1
EGY
23%
27%
51%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
KEN
1 - 0
UGA
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Somalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
RWA
3 - 0
SOM
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2000 |
SOM
0 - 3
BDI
57%
21%
23%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 2000 |
UGA
6 - 0
SOM
84%
12%
4%
|
48 | 76 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2000 |
SOM
1 - 2
ETH
16%
22%
62%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
DJI
0 - 0
SOM
61%
19%
19%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |