Kenya vs Eritrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
7.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
ETH
1 - 0
KEN
50%
25%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2006 |
ETH
1 - 0
KEN
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
MWI
3 - 0
KEN
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
KEN
0 - 2
TUN
26%
27%
47%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
TUN
1 - 0
KEN
73%
18%
9%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
ERI
0 - 1
TAN
11%
19%
70%
|
24 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2005 |
ERI
0 - 0
BDI
8%
15%
77%
|
21 | 53 | 32 | +3 |
| 30 Nov. 2005 |
RWA
3 - 2
ERI
77%
15%
8%
|
21 | 64 | 43 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2003 |
ERI
2 - 3
KEN
6%
15%
79%
|
21 | 74 | 53 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
UGA
2 - 1
ERI
90%
8%
2%
|
21 | 72 | 51 | 0 |