Kazakhstan vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
67%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kazakhstan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
AZE
1 - 1
KAZ
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
BEL
0 - 0
KAZ
91%
7%
2%
|
68 | 92 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2006 |
KAZ
1 - 0
KGZ
82%
12%
6%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2006 |
KAZ
4 - 1
TJK
69%
18%
13%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
GRC
2 - 0
KAZ
88%
10%
3%
|
67 | 90 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
POL
1 - 1
SRB
85%
11%
4%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
POL
1 - 3
FIN
71%
19%
10%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
DNK
2 - 0
POL
59%
23%
18%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2006 |
CRI
1 - 2
POL
23%
22%
56%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2006 |
DEU
1 - 0
POL
77%
14%
9%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | 0 |