Japan vs Syria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
JPN
1 - 1
UZB
65%
21%
13%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2008 |
JPN
1 - 1
ARE
70%
20%
10%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
BHR
2 - 3
JPN
20%
26%
54%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
JPN
1 - 3
URY
40%
28%
33%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
JPN
1 - 0
BHR
72%
19%
9%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Syria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2008 |
VEN
4 - 1
SYR
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
IRN
2 - 0
SYR
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
OMN
1 - 2
SYR
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2008 |
SYR
0 - 0
JOR
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
ARE
1 - 3
SYR
57%
23%
21%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |