Japan vs Uzbekistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
8.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
JPN
3 - 1
ISL
76%
17%
7%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
PRK
1 - 0
JPN
13%
23%
64%
|
92 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
TJK
0 - 4
JPN
9%
19%
72%
|
92 | 61 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
JPN
8 - 0
TJK
90%
8%
2%
|
91 | 61 | 30 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
JPN
1 - 0
VIE
78%
16%
6%
|
91 | 63 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Uzbekistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
KOR
4 - 2
UZB
71%
19%
10%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
UAE
1 - 0
UZB
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2012 |
KWT
1 - 0
UZB
53%
23%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
UZB
3 - 0
TJK
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
UZB
1 - 0
PRK
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |