Japan vs Catar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
12.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1994 |
JPN
1 - 1
ARE
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1994 |
JPN
0 - 0
AUS
42%
29%
29%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1994 |
JPN
2 - 1
GHA
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 1994 |
JPN
3 - 2
GHA
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1994 |
JPN
1 - 4
FRA
17%
27%
57%
|
76 | 94 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Catar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1994 |
MMR
2 - 2
QAT
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1994 |
QAT
1 - 2
OMN
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1994 |
YEM
0 - 2
QAT
31%
26%
42%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1994 |
QAT
2 - 0
SDN
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1994 |
OMN
2 - 0
QAT
22%
26%
53%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | -1 |