Japan vs United States analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
JPN
3 - 0
KOR
45%
24%
32%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
JPN
0 - 0
CHN
73%
17%
11%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
JPN
6 - 0
HKG
92%
7%
1%
|
88 | 48 | 40 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
JPN
0 - 3
TUN
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
JPN
4 - 1
GHA
78%
15%
8%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
SLV
1 - 1
USA
5%
18%
77%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
USA
5 - 0
GRD
89%
8%
3%
|
90 | 46 | 44 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
USA
0 - 0
URY
45%
24%
31%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
USA
3 - 0
MAR
62%
21%
17%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
CRI
2 - 0
USA
20%
25%
55%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |