Japan vs Afghanistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
6.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1951 |
IRN
3 - 2
JPN
50%
20%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1951 |
IRN
0 - 0
JPN
52%
19%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1940 |
JPN
1 - 0
PHL
85%
9%
6%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 1936 |
ITA
8 - 0
JPN
78%
13%
10%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 1936 |
JPN
3 - 2
SWE
38%
21%
41%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Afghanistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1951 |
IND
3 - 0
AFG
71%
16%
13%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1950 |
IRN
4 - 0
AFG
77%
14%
10%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 1948 |
LUX
6 - 0
AFG
61%
18%
21%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -2 |