Italy vs URSS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
21.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1991 |
DEN
0 - 2
ITA
44%
29%
27%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1991 |
NOR
2 - 1
ITA
24%
31%
45%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
ITA
3 - 1
HUN
61%
24%
15%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1991 |
ITA
0 - 0
BEL
67%
22%
11%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1990 |
CYP
0 - 4
ITA
18%
32%
50%
|
94 | 53 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
URSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1991 |
SWE
2 - 3
SUN
43%
28%
29%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1991 |
SUN
4 - 0
CYP
82%
14%
4%
|
93 | 53 | 40 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1991 |
ARG
1 - 1
SUN
41%
29%
30%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1991 |
ENG
3 - 1
SUN
56%
26%
19%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1991 |
HUN
0 - 1
SUN
43%
28%
29%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |