Italy vs Greece analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
9.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
FIN
1 - 2
ITA
19%
26%
56%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
ARM
1 - 3
ITA
14%
24%
62%
|
91 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
ITA
2 - 1
BIH
66%
21%
13%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
GRC
0 - 3
ITA
20%
27%
53%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
ITA
6 - 0
LIE
79%
16%
5%
|
90 | 33 | 57 | +1 |
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
GRC
1 - 1
LIE
85%
13%
2%
|
83 | 32 | 51 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
FIN
1 - 0
GRC
45%
28%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
GRC
2 - 3
ARM
65%
23%
13%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
GRC
0 - 3
ITA
20%
27%
53%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
TUR
2 - 1
GRC
57%
25%
18%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |