Italy vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
16%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
9.3%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 0
USA
49%
26%
25%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 0
PRT
36%
27%
37%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
POL
0 - 1
ITA
39%
26%
35%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 1
UKR
54%
25%
21%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
PRT
1 - 0
ITA
54%
23%
23%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
FIN
1 - 2
EST
66%
21%
13%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2019 |
SWE
0 - 1
FIN
73%
18%
9%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
HUN
2 - 0
FIN
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
GRC
1 - 0
FIN
51%
27%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
FIN
2 - 0
GRC
41%
28%
31%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |