Israel vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.1%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
10%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
10%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10%
3.9%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1984 |
ISR
1 - 1
ROU
43%
28%
29%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1984 |
NIR
3 - 0
ISR
54%
26%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1984 |
GRC
2 - 2
ISR
39%
25%
35%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1984 |
ISR
2 - 1
MLT
82%
12%
6%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1984 |
ISR
0 - 0
WLS
50%
28%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1984 |
CYP
1 - 0
LUX
70%
16%
14%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1984 |
BGR
4 - 0
LUX
91%
7%
3%
|
37 | 80 | 43 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1984 |
LUX
0 - 5
DDR
11%
21%
69%
|
37 | 90 | 53 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1984 |
LUX
0 - 4
FRA
9%
18%
74%
|
37 | 91 | 54 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1984 |
LUX
1 - 2
PRT
11%
17%
72%
|
37 | 85 | 48 | 0 |