Israel vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
43.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1986 |
ISR
1 - 2
ENG
21%
28%
51%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1986 |
ISR
0 - 1
SCT
32%
30%
38%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1985 |
ISR
1 - 1
SWE
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1985 |
ISR
0 - 0
IRL
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1985 |
ISR
0 - 2
GRC
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1986 |
NOR
1 - 0
ARG
25%
28%
47%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1986 |
FRA
2 - 0
ARG
52%
26%
23%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1985 |
MEX
1 - 1
ARG
36%
28%
35%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1985 |
ARG
1 - 1
MEX
64%
22%
14%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1985 |
ARG
2 - 2
PER
75%
18%
8%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |