UEFA Nations League League B Round 5

Iceland vs Russia analysis

Iceland Russia
79 ELO 87
0% Tilt 3.5%
820º General ELO ranking 119º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
20.6%
Iceland
24.3%
Draw
55.2%
Russia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
Iceland
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
55.2%
Win probability
Russia
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Iceland
Russia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Iceland
Iceland
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2022
ISL
Iceland
1 - 0
Venezuela
VEN
33%
26%
41%
78 84 6 0
13 Jun. 2022
ISL
Iceland
2 - 2
Israel
ISR
38%
25%
37%
78 81 3 0
09 Jun. 2022
SMR
San Marino
0 - 1
Iceland
ISL
5%
13%
81%
78 18 60 0
06 Jun. 2022
ISL
Iceland
1 - 1
Albania
ALB
57%
23%
19%
78 75 3 0
02 Jun. 2022
ISR
Israel
2 - 2
Iceland
ISL
58%
22%
20%
78 81 3 0

Matches

Russia
Russia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2022
KGZ
Kyrgyzstan
1 - 2
Russia
RUS
11%
21%
68%
87 58 29 0
14 Nov. 2021
CRO
Croatia
1 - 0
Russia
RUS
55%
23%
23%
87 90 3 0
11 Nov. 2021
RUS
Russia
6 - 0
Cyprus
CYP
80%
14%
6%
87 60 27 0
11 Oct. 2021
SVN
Slovenia
1 - 2
Russia
RUS
22%
25%
54%
87 80 7 0
08 Oct. 2021
RUS
Russia
1 - 0
Slovakia
SVK
57%
23%
20%
87 85 2 0