EC Qualifying Group H Round 3

Iceland vs Albania analysis

Iceland Albania
81 ELO 74
1.4% Tilt 4.8%
821º General ELO ranking 810º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
63.6%
Iceland
22%
Draw
14.4%
Albania

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
Iceland
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14.4%
Win probability
Albania
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Iceland
+2%
+13%
Albania

ELO progression

Iceland
Albania
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Iceland
Iceland
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Mar. 2019
FRA
France
4 - 0
Iceland
ISL
81%
14%
6%
81 94 13 0
22 Mar. 2019
AND
Andorra
0 - 2
Iceland
ISL
6%
14%
81%
81 40 41 0
15 Jan. 2019
EST
Estonia
0 - 0
Iceland
ISL
22%
25%
53%
81 72 9 0
11 Jan. 2019
SWE
Sweden
2 - 2
Iceland
ISL
68%
19%
13%
81 89 8 0
19 Nov. 2018
ISL
Iceland
2 - 2
Qatar
QAT
48%
25%
27%
81 81 0 0

Matches

Albania
Albania
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Mar. 2019
AND
Andorra
0 - 3
Albania
ALB
7%
17%
76%
74 39 35 0
22 Mar. 2019
ALB
Albania
0 - 2
Turkey
TUR
21%
26%
53%
75 86 11 -1
20 Nov. 2018
ALB
Albania
1 - 0
Wales
WAL
29%
29%
43%
74 85 11 +1
17 Nov. 2018
ALB
Albania
0 - 4
Scotland
SCO
25%
27%
48%
75 85 10 -1
14 Oct. 2018
ISR
Israel
2 - 0
Albania
ALB
64%
22%
15%
75 81 6 0