Iraq vs Jordan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
14.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2004 |
IRN
2 - 1
IRQ
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2004 |
JOR
2 - 0
IRQ
29%
28%
43%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
IRQ
2 - 1
PLE
90%
8%
2%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2004 |
IRQ
6 - 1
TWN
87%
10%
3%
|
85 | 44 | 41 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
TTO
2 - 0
IRQ
33%
26%
41%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Jordan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2004 |
JOR
2 - 3
SYR
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2004 |
JOR
2 - 0
IRQ
29%
28%
43%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2004 |
PLE
1 - 1
JOR
21%
26%
53%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2004 |
IRN
0 - 1
JOR
69%
20%
11%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
ALG
1 - 1
JOR
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |