Iraq vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
8.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2012 |
IRQ
1 - 0
SLE
69%
20%
11%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
IRQ
0 - 0
EGY
28%
29%
44%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
IRQ
7 - 1
SGP
72%
19%
9%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
LBN
1 - 0
IRQ
16%
23%
61%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
JOR
1 - 3
IRQ
38%
28%
34%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2012 |
BOT
3 - 0
LSO
62%
23%
14%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 2
MLI
22%
26%
53%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 6
GUI
24%
25%
51%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
GHA
1 - 0
BOT
72%
19%
9%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
BOT
0 - 0
ZIM
38%
28%
35%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |