England vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
ENG
0 - 1
DNK
69%
19%
13%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ENG
2 - 1
BEL
46%
24%
30%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
ENG
3 - 0
WLS
82%
13%
5%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
DNK
0 - 0
ENG
26%
24%
50%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
ISL
0 - 1
ENG
10%
19%
71%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
FIN
1 - 0
IRL
36%
28%
36%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
IRL
0 - 0
WLS
52%
26%
22%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
SVK
0 - 0
IRL
48%
26%
26%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
IRL
0 - 1
FIN
64%
22%
14%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
BGR
1 - 1
IRL
36%
28%
36%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |