England vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
DEU
2 - 3
ENG
57%
21%
21%
|
94 | 95 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
ENG
2 - 0
FRA
49%
25%
26%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
ESP
2 - 0
ENG
54%
23%
23%
|
94 | 96 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
LTU
0 - 3
ENG
7%
18%
76%
|
94 | 70 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
ENG
2 - 0
EST
84%
12%
4%
|
94 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
NLD
2 - 3
FRA
53%
24%
23%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
WLS
2 - 3
NLD
12%
21%
67%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
NLD
2 - 3
CZE
70%
18%
12%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
KAZ
1 - 2
NLD
7%
17%
76%
|
94 | 61 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
TUR
3 - 0
NLD
22%
23%
55%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |