England vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83%
Win probability
3.55
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
10%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10%
6.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1951 |
ENG
5 - 2
POR
85%
9%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1951 |
ENG
2 - 1
ARG
60%
19%
22%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1951 |
ENG
2 - 3
SCO
75%
14%
11%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1950 |
ENG
2 - 2
YUG
79%
12%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1950 |
ENG
4 - 2
WAL
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1951 |
ITA
4 - 1
FRA
81%
11%
8%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1951 |
SCO
1 - 0
FRA
66%
18%
17%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1951 |
NIR
2 - 2
FRA
36%
20%
44%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1951 |
FRA
2 - 1
YUG
50%
21%
30%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
FRA
5 - 2
NED
54%
19%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |