England vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.7%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.7%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
4%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
ENG
2 - 0
CHE
67%
20%
13%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
SMR
0 - 6
ENG
9%
17%
74%
|
94 | 28 | 66 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
SVN
2 - 3
ENG
12%
20%
68%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
IRL
0 - 0
ENG
23%
24%
53%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 1
ENG
35%
26%
39%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
SVN
1 - 0
EST
65%
21%
15%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
EST
1 - 0
LTU
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
EST
2 - 0
SMR
77%
17%
7%
|
70 | 28 | 42 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2015 |
FIN
0 - 2
EST
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
ISL
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |