Guinea vs Mauritania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
16.8%
2-0
18.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.2%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.9%
4.6%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1989 |
GUI
1 - 0
SLE
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1988 |
MAR
1 - 0
GUI
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
GUI
3 - 2
MLI
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1988 |
GUI
3 - 0
SLE
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1988 |
GUI
1 - 1
CPV
74%
18%
8%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Mauritania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1989 |
SLE
2 - 1
MTN
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1988 |
MLI
2 - 2
MTN
74%
15%
10%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1988 |
CPV
3 - 2
MTN
72%
16%
12%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1988 |
GUI
1 - 1
MTN
81%
14%
4%
|
40 | 67 | 27 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1987 |
MLI
1 - 0
MTN
74%
16%
11%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | 0 |