Guinea vs Niger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
XXK
1 - 2
GIN
45%
24%
32%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
TGO
2 - 0
GIN
22%
24%
54%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2021 |
TUR
0 - 0
GIN
76%
16%
9%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
NAM
2 - 1
GIN
21%
24%
55%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
GIN
1 - 0
MLI
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
NER
0 - 1
COG
32%
26%
43%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
GMB
2 - 0
NER
51%
25%
23%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
MDG
0 - 0
NER
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
NER
0 - 3
CIV
16%
25%
60%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2021 |
NER
1 - 2
COD
23%
24%
53%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |