Guam vs Mongolia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.1%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.8%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
80.5%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.4%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.5%
0-5
4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
PAK
9 - 2
GUM
78%
14%
9%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2008 |
TWN
4 - 1
GUM
73%
16%
11%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2008 |
GUM
1 - 5
LKA
25%
24%
52%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | -2 |
| 23 Jun. 2007 |
MNG
5 - 2
GUM
85%
10%
5%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2007 |
HKG
15 - 1
GUM
93%
6%
1%
|
22 | 56 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Mongolia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
MNG
1 - 1
GAM
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 66 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
PRK
5 - 1
MNG
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 75 | 39 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
MNG
1 - 4
PRK
13%
18%
69%
|
37 | 75 | 38 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2007 |
MNG
5 - 2
GUM
85%
10%
5%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2007 |
PRK
7 - 0
MNG
92%
7%
1%
|
37 | 75 | 38 | 0 |