Greece vs Philippines analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
7.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1927 |
GRC
5 - 1
JPN
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1925 |
GRC
2 - 0
JPN
58%
21%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1925 |
PHL
1 - 5
GRC
22%
24%
54%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1920 |
SWE
9 - 0
GRC
63%
19%
18%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Philippines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1925 |
PHL
4 - 0
JPN
24%
24%
52%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1925 |
PHL
1 - 5
GRC
22%
24%
54%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1923 |
JPN
1 - 2
PHL
84%
10%
6%
|
46 | 74 | 28 | +2 |
| 01 Jun. 1921 |
PHL
3 - 0
JPN
18%
22%
60%
|
44 | 74 | 30 | +2 |
| 07 May. 1917 |
JPN
2 - 15
PHL
90%
8%
3%
|
40 | 75 | 35 | +4 |