Ghana vs Senegal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.8%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
28.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2007 |
GHA
1 - 3
QAT
51%
27%
22%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2007 |
BRA
1 - 0
GHA
88%
9%
3%
|
84 | 98 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
AUT
1 - 1
GHA
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2007 |
NGA
1 - 4
GHA
63%
22%
14%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2006 |
AUS
1 - 1
GHA
64%
23%
13%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
MOZ
0 - 0
SEN
21%
26%
53%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
MWI
2 - 3
SEN
21%
26%
52%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
TAN
1 - 1
SEN
20%
26%
55%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
SEN
4 - 0
TAN
77%
17%
7%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2007 |
BEN
1 - 2
SEN
16%
25%
60%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |