Ghana vs Togo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
8.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2015 |
ZMB
3 - 0
GHA
33%
29%
38%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2015 |
GHA
1 - 2
MDG
82%
13%
5%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
GHA
1 - 1
MLI
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
GHA
1 - 2
SEN
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
GHA
1 - 0
NAM
80%
15%
6%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
MUS
1 - 1
TGO
20%
25%
56%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
GHA
3 - 1
TGO
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
TGO
1 - 4
GIN
27%
26%
48%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
TGO
1 - 0
UGA
36%
27%
38%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
UGA
0 - 1
TGO
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |