WC Qual. Europe Grupo D. Jor. 5

Georgia vs Serbia analysis

Georgia Serbia
70 ELO 84
-10.3% Tilt -0.8%
470º General ELO ranking 120º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
27.5%
Georgia
28.5%
Draw
44%
Serbia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
Georgia
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.8%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
44.1%
Win probability
Serbia
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Georgia
+20%
+2%
Serbia

ELO progression

Georgia
Serbia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Georgia
Georgia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jan. 2017
JOR
Jordan
1 - 0
Georgia
GEO
43%
26%
31%
71 74 3 0
23 Jan. 2017
UZB
Uzbekistan
2 - 2
Georgia
GEO
54%
25%
21%
71 80 9 0
12 Nov. 2016
GEO
Georgia
1 - 1
Moldova
MDA
62%
23%
15%
71 59 12 0
09 Oct. 2016
WLS
Wales
1 - 1
Georgia
GEO
65%
22%
13%
71 84 13 0
06 Oct. 2016
IRL
Ireland
1 - 0
Georgia
GEO
76%
17%
8%
71 88 17 0

Matches

Serbia
Serbia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jan. 2017
USA
United States
0 - 0
Serbia
SRB
68%
19%
12%
84 88 4 0
15 Nov. 2016
UKR
Ukraine
2 - 0
Serbia
SRB
56%
25%
19%
84 87 3 0
12 Nov. 2016
WLS
Wales
1 - 1
Serbia
SRB
44%
27%
29%
84 84 0 0
09 Oct. 2016
SRB
Serbia
3 - 2
Austria
AUT
43%
24%
33%
84 84 0 0
06 Oct. 2016
MDA
Moldova
0 - 3
Serbia
SRB
18%
28%
55%
84 61 23 0
X