Wales vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
52%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1991 |
WLS
1 - 0
DEU
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1991 |
POL
0 - 0
WLS
63%
23%
14%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
WLS
1 - 0
ISL
76%
16%
9%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1991 |
BEL
1 - 1
WLS
66%
22%
12%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1991 |
WLS
0 - 3
IRL
48%
30%
23%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 1991 |
BRA
2 - 0
CHL
75%
17%
8%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1991 |
BRA
2 - 0
COL
77%
16%
7%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1991 |
ARG
3 - 2
BRA
38%
28%
34%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1991 |
BRA
3 - 1
ECU
81%
14%
5%
|
95 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1991 |
COL
2 - 0
BRA
27%
28%
46%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |