France vs South Africa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
10%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10%
3.4%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 1
CIV
83%
12%
5%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
FIN
0 - 2
FRA
9%
21%
70%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
FRA
8 - 0
KAZ
90%
8%
2%
|
95 | 58 | 37 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ESP
1 - 2
FRA
52%
23%
25%
|
94 | 95 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
BEL
2 - 3
FRA
50%
23%
27%
|
94 | 94 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
ZAF
0 - 0
GIN
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
GHA
1 - 0
ZAF
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
ZAF
1 - 0
ZWE
66%
22%
12%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
ZAF
1 - 0
ETH
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
ETH
1 - 3
ZAF
18%
23%
59%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |