France vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.5%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.2%
4-0
11.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.1%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.8%
2.7%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
FRA
3 - 2
CHL
79%
14%
7%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FRA
0 - 2
DEU
59%
20%
20%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
GRC
2 - 2
FRA
10%
22%
68%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
FRA
14 - 0
GIB
96%
4%
0%
|
95 | 38 | 57 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
FRA
4 - 1
SCT
80%
14%
6%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
LUX
2 - 1
KAZ
42%
24%
33%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
GEO
2 - 0
LUX
66%
20%
15%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 1
LUX
6%
13%
81%
|
62 | 24 | 38 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
LUX
4 - 1
BIH
16%
21%
63%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
LUX
0 - 1
SVK
19%
23%
58%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |