France vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
41.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2012 |
FRA
4 - 0
EST
79%
16%
6%
|
96 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2012 |
FRA
2 - 0
SRB
74%
18%
8%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
FRA
3 - 2
ISL
79%
16%
6%
|
96 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
DEU
1 - 2
FRA
63%
20%
16%
|
97 | 98 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
FRA
0 - 0
BEL
66%
22%
12%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
ENG
1 - 0
BEL
78%
15%
7%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
NOR
0 - 1
ENG
22%
26%
52%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
ENG
2 - 3
NLD
45%
25%
30%
|
98 | 99 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
ENG
1 - 0
SWE
71%
18%
11%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
ENG
1 - 0
ESP
32%
24%
44%
|
98 | 100 | 2 | 0 |