France vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
8.7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2008 |
FRA
0 - 0
PRY
76%
17%
7%
|
100 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2008 |
FRA
2 - 0
ECU
78%
16%
6%
|
99 | 87 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
FRA
1 - 0
ENG
56%
25%
19%
|
99 | 97 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
ESP
1 - 0
FRA
43%
27%
30%
|
99 | 98 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
UKR
2 - 2
FRA
15%
25%
60%
|
99 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2008 |
IRL
1 - 0
COL
47%
28%
25%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2008 |
COL
5 - 2
VEN
67%
21%
12%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
HND
2 - 1
COL
32%
30%
39%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2008 |
URY
2 - 2
COL
48%
27%
25%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
COL
2 - 1
ARG
22%
26%
52%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | +1 |