EC Qualifying Grupo J. Jor. 3

Finland vs Bosnia analysis

Finland Bosnia
81 ELO 84
-4.7% Tilt -15.7%
377º General ELO ranking 408º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
34.7%
Finland
26.8%
Draw
38.5%
Bosnia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
Finland
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
38.5%
Win probability
Bosnia
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Finland
-6%
-17%
Bosnia

ELO progression

Finland
Bosnia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Finland
Finland
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 2019
ARM
Armenia
0 - 2
Finland
FIN
34%
27%
39%
80 67 13 0
23 Mar. 2019
ITA
Italy
2 - 0
Finland
FIN
71%
20%
9%
80 91 11 0
11 Jan. 2019
FIN
Finland
1 - 2
Estonia
EST
66%
21%
13%
81 69 12 -1
08 Jan. 2019
SWE
Sweden
0 - 1
Finland
FIN
73%
18%
9%
80 89 9 +1
18 Nov. 2018
HUN
Hungary
2 - 0
Finland
FIN
50%
25%
25%
80 82 2 0

Matches

Bosnia
Bosnia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 2019
BIH
Bosnia
2 - 2
Greece
GRC
58%
24%
19%
85 84 1 0
23 Mar. 2019
BIH
Bosnia
2 - 1
Armenia
ARM
73%
17%
10%
85 68 17 0
18 Nov. 2018
ESP
Spain
1 - 0
Bosnia
BIH
83%
12%
5%
85 95 10 0
15 Nov. 2018
AUT
Austria
0 - 0
Bosnia
BIH
45%
25%
30%
85 84 1 0
15 Oct. 2018
BIH
Bosnia
2 - 0
Northern Ireland
NIR
67%
21%
12%
84 79 5 +1
X